Edmonton Oilers vs Nashville Predators – Pick and Prediction

 

Edmonton Oilers vs. Nashville Predators Live (18-22-3 SU, 18-25 PL, 21-22 O/U) Edmonton Oilers vs vs. Nashville Predators (24-11-6 ATS, 23-18 PL, 21-20 O/U)

NHL: Tuesday, January 9, 2018 at 8:00 p.m. EST

The Line: Nashville Predators -165/Edmonton Oilers +145. Total: 5.5.

The Edmonton Oilers have lost six of their last seven games heading into a road date with the Nashville Predators at Bridgestone Arena on Tuesday night. Edmonton is coming off consecutive setbacks at Dallas and Chicago. The Predators halted a two-game skid of their own by defeating Los Angeles this past Saturday.

Losing and losing badly

Edmonton Oilers vs Nashville Predators Oilers have dropped six of their last seven contests. During this stretch, their record is 1-5-1, with five losses in regulation and just one setback that went to overtime. The performance on the ice has been every bit as bad as the numbers look on paper. In the past seven outings, Edmonton has lost twice by 5-0 scores and they are coming off blowouts at the hands of Dallas (5-1) and Chicago (4-1). In this past Sunday’s stinker against the Blackhawks, the Oilers watched goalie Cam Talbot give up four goals on 29 shots and they won only 22 faceoffs compared to 35 wins for Chicago when the puck was dropped. Edmonton has now been outscored 20-3 over its last five contests.

Edmonton Oilers vs Nashville Predators “It’s a humbling game,” forward Milan Lucic admitted. “There are times we’re on cloud nine and times where we’re at the bottom of the barrel. I don’t think the last two games, probably more so [against Dallas than against Chicago], was a lack of effort. It’s just some minor mistakes that lead to big goals against.”

They’ve got the Oilers’ number

In the only previous meeting between the two teams this season, Nashville took care of Edmonton 4-0 on Dec. 14. The Oilers rank 22nd in the NHL in scoring offense and 31st in penalty-kill percentage, and both disappointments showed up against the Predators. Nashville posted a shut out and converted two of three power-play opportunities. Roman Josi scored a power-play goal in that contest and also lit the lamp once in the Preds’ 4-3 win over Los Angeles this past Saturday. Fellow defenseman P.K. Subban set up Josi’s goal against Edmonton and had two assists against the Kings to move within one point of 350 for his career.

Edmonton Oilers vs Nashville Predators While Kyle Turris has been music to the ears of the Nashville faithful since being acquired in a three-team trade, he has also dogged Edmonton on two occasions with two different clubs this season. Turris scored twice and set up another goal in Ottawa’s 6-1 rout of the Oilers on Oct. 14 before playing for the Predators last month and recording a goal and an assist in the 4-0 win. Turris increased his point total to 19 (five goals, 14 assists) by setting up Josi’s goal against the Kings. Nashville goalie Pekka Rinne owns an 18-6-1 mark with four shutouts and a .915 save percentage in 28 career appearances against Edmonton.

NHL Trends:

The Edmonton Oilers are:

1-6 in their last seven overall

1-6 in their last seven games against the Western Conference

0-5 in their last five games against the Central Division

The Nashville Predators are:

35-16 in their last 51 home games

36-17 in their last 53 games against the Western Conference

8-3 in their last 11 games against teams with losing records

Edmonton Oilers vs Nashville Predators Nashville has cooled off just a bit to the tune of a current 3-4-2 stretch, but that is not changing the team’s mentality. As Rinne pointed out, “We had that mindset going into every game that we’re going to win tonight, and it showed on the ice. I think that’s been one of the biggest things compared to last year. I think last year we were finding ourselves.” The Oilers are trying to find themselves this season, and so far they have not done so. Edmonton is 1-6 in its last seven overall, 1-6 in its last seven against the Western Conference, 0-5 in its last five against the Central Division, and 1-4 in their last five playing on one day of rest. The Predators are 35-16 in their last 51 at home, 36-17 in their last 53 against the Western Conference, 8-3 in their last 11 against losing opponents, 29-11 in the last 40 meetings between the two teams, and 16-5 in their last 21 at home against the Oilers. Count on those trends continuing.

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The Predators face the Oilers tonight in Nashville in their second meeting of the season. The Predators shut out Edmonton in mid-December 4-0 on their Canadian road trip.

Still without Filip Forsberg, the Predators finally figured things out against the Kings on Saturday, securing their first win of 2018. Tonight, they have a chance to grab their first home win before a little R&R.

The Nashville Predators

Edmonton Oilers vs Nashville Predators Unsurprisingly, P.K. Subban leads the Predators in points behind the injured Forsberg with 9 goals and 22 assists, a neat total of 31 points. His play has been phenomenal. Kevin Fiala, Viktor Arvidsson, and Ryan Johansen follow Subban on the points list. Tonight, we need big goals from those guys.

Ryan Ellis netted a sweet slap shot Saturday, making his presence on the ice very noticeable. We’re glad our bearded ginger Rocket Ship has returned.

We saw two goals from Austin Watson’s crunching fourth line on Saturday. It’s only fitting that the bottom two lines step up in the absence of a big goal-scorer like Forsberg. That “next man up” mentality put the Predators in the Stanley Cup Final last year. Keep it up, boys.

Both goaltenders are playing quite well. The end of December was a little rough for Pekka Rinne, but he’s been back in excellent form to start off 2018.

The Edmonton Oilers

Edmonton Oilers vs Nashville Predators As per usual, Connor McDavid/McJesus leads the Oilers with 47 points on the season. He’s followed not-so-closely by Leon Draisaitl, with 33 points.

The Oilers dropped a game on Saturday against the Chicago Blackhawks. Their defensive corps is struggling, and so are their goaltenders. Before Chicago’s loss, the Oilers lost 5-1 to the Stars.

It doesn’t seem like this is a team that can string together enough wins to climb the standings. They sit at the bottom of the Western Conference with the Arizona Coyotes and the Vancouver Canucks. It makes you wonder if head coach Todd McLellan is on the hot seat. (TSN asks the same question here.)

Just like every other struggling team that comes to Nashville, the Predators should be wary of their opponent and be prepared to play a full 60 minutes of hockey. Without sounding too much like what I imagine Coach Laviolette sounds like pre-game, the Predators should definitely expect that Edmonton will be looking to nab a win in an effort to turn their season around.

They have the tools in McDavid, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Milan Lucic, and Patrick Maroon to score plenty of goals.

Edmonton Oilers vs Nashville Predators Starting goaltender Cam Talbot has a .902 save percentage on the season with a 3.12 GAA. New backup Al Montoya stopped 13 of 14 shots in a relief effort against the Stars the other night, his first appearance since being traded from the Canadiens last week.

Memories and Feelings

-Let’s shut out Edmonton again!!

-Confession: I’ve mentioned this before, but I picked Edmonton to beat Nashville in the Western Conference Final this season…and then go on to win the Stanley Cup against Tampa Bay. That doesn’t seem like it could really be a possibility after Edmonton’s lethargic first half of the season…but you never know. Let’s NOT give them two points tonight.

Reasons to Watch

-Connor McDavid is absolutely incredible at that hockey. I hate when he’s up against the Predators, but he’s definitely more tolerable than Sidney Crosby.

-This is the last Preds game for 5 or so days while they go on their mandatory league break.

Tonight’s Theme Song

“Take it to the Limit” by the Eagles. The Preds should work their golden butts off tonight and go into the break with an additional two points.

Why the Oilers can pay on the NHL lines Edmonton Oilers vs Nashville Predators

The talent is still there for Edmonton, but defense remains a major issue heading into the second half of the season. The Oilers have surrendered four goals or more in losing six of their last seven games, the exception being a 2-1 shootout win over the Anaheim Ducks last Thursday before they hit the road.

They have been outscored 9-1 in their first two games of their trip, falling to the Dallas Stars and Chicago Blackhawks on back-to-back nights last weekend. The day off between games after Sunday’s loss at Chicago should help Edmonton reevaluate some things and figure out a better game plan.

Why the Predators can pay on the NHL lines

The Predators have won each of the past 10 meetings with the Oilers, according to the OddsShark NHL Database, including five in a row at home. Nashville returns to Bridgestone Arena, which offers one of the best home-ice advantages in the league, following a somewhat disappointing three-game road trip that saw the team lose twice. Edmonton Oilers vs Nashville Predators

On a positive note, the Predators closed out the trip with a 4-3 victory against the Los Angeles Kings on Saturday behind two goals from Austin Watson and two assists from P.K. Subban. It was the team’s highest goal total since a 6-4 loss on December 19.

Smart betting pick

Defensively, Nashville is a superior team that is a legitimate Stanley Cup contender again right now. Meanwhile, Edmonton is not even close to that status and would miss out on the playoffs if they started today. These teams are at two opposite ends of the spectrum, so there is only one side to play here. Take the Preds to roll at home. Edmonton Oilers vs Nashville Predators

NHL betting trends

Edmonton is 1-6 in its last seven games.

Edmonton is 2-4 in its last six games on the road.

The total has gone under in four of Nashville’s last six Edmonton Oilers vs Nashville Predators games.

Edmonton Oilers vs Nashville Predators NHL odds and betting trends courtesy of Bleacher Report’s official odds partner, OddsShark. All quotes gathered firsthand unless otherwise noted. Check out Twitter for injury and line-movement updates and the OddsShark YouTube page for picks and analysis, or download the free odds tracker app.

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